Manchester City have just 61 points from 30 games heading into an important game against Chelsea on Sunday afternoon.
No side in the last 22 seasons have had so few points with eight games left and gone on to win the Premier League title.
The last Premier League champion to have as few points with eight games left to play was Manchester United on 61 points in 2002-03.
The fewest points Manchester City have ever had after 30 games and still won the top-flight title was 67 points, under both Manuel Pellegrini in 2013-14 and Pep Guardiola in 2023-24.
The average points tally of an eventual champion after 30 games played, in a 38-game season, is 69 points.
Therefore, the Citizens are currently eight points off the pace and history suggests they will have to win at Stamford Bridge.
The fewest points a team has had after 31 games played of a 38-game season and gone on to win the title is 63 points – done by Manchester United in 1996-97 and Arsenal in 1997-98.
If Manchester City fail to win this weekend, they will be sat on 61 or 62 points and they will have to make Premier League history to win the league this season.
Even if they win against Chelsea, they have still got a tough task ahead of them because no team has won the title having had as few as 64 points with seven games left in the past 22 seasons.
The average points tally of an eventual champion after 31 games played, in a 38-game season, is 72 points.
Therefore, Guardiola's side would still be eight points off pace even with a win.
