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Did Forest's finishing cost Dyche his job?

by Luna
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Igor Jesus
[Getty Images]

Nottingham Forest's goalless draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers on Wednesday was the seventh time in Sean Dyche's 18-match reign in which they failed to find the net.

Goals have been an issue for Forest all season, but the loss of last term's top scorer Chris Wood in October only exacerbated the problem for Dyche, who was never able to select the New Zealand target man.

With injury forcing his hand, Dyche opted for Igor Jesus to lead the line. The Brazilian – who had been used exclusively as a substitute for league fixtures while Wood was fit – started 17 of Dyche's games in charge, only dropping to the bench again for Wednesday's stalemate at the City Ground.

The 24-year-old, who cost a reported £10m from Botafogo in the summer, has struggled against Premier League defences, with just two goals in 25 appearances. That's in stark contrast to his cup and European form; he has six in six in the Europa League and notched three in two in the domestic cups, albeit against lower league opposition who Forest failed to beat.

Clearly Igor Jesus is not solely to blame for Forest's failings but his shot conversion rate under Dyche was the second worst in the top-flight and eventually he was replaced in the starting 11 for the Wolves game by 6ft 7in loan signing Lorenzo Lucca, who had scored off the bench on his debut against Leeds United.

Worst shot conversion in Premier League 2025-26 Liam Delap 4.4% rate Igor Jesus 4.8% rate Wilson Isidor 5% rate Tolu Arokodare 8% rate Raul Jimenez 9.8% rate
[BBC]

Forest's 241 shots during Dyche's 114-day reign places them ninth in the league, but their overall conversion rate of 8.3% was the third worst in the division.

A further look at the numbers suggests that the quality of chances his side were creating was also poor. Their expected goals per shot rate of just 0.09 ranks them 19th in the league in that timeframe.

The fact that Wood is still Forest's joint-third top scorer in the league – level with Igor Jesus, Nicolo Savona and Ibrahim Sangare, one behind Callum Hudson-Odoi, and four behind midfielder Morgan Gibbs-White – despite having missed 18 games, is perhaps indicative of their attacking woes.

Original Article

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