Home Premier LeagueThe 10% Club: Opta’s Best Under-the-Radar FPL Picks for Gameweek 37

The 10% Club: Opta’s Best Under-the-Radar FPL Picks for Gameweek 37

by Nicolina
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Who are the best under-the-radar players to add to your Fantasy Premier League team for Gameweek 37 of 2025-26?We assess the Opta data to reveal our top picks.

There’s an elongated gameweek for the penultimate matchday of the 2025-26 season. But while the games stretch from Friday to Tuesday, everybody plays just the once. The end is in sight for your Fantasy Premier League campaign, making this weekend massive.

We’ve crunched the Opta data to identify five players you should really consider bringing in down the stretch, despite them currently being picked by fewer than 10% of FPL managers.

GK – Bernd Leno | 4.9m | 2.2% Ownership

Fulham have had one top-half finish in the Premier League since 2011-12. They came 10th in 2022-23, their first campaign after their last promotion. At face value they have nothing much left on the line this season, but they could plausibly end the campaign in the top 10 and highest of the west London clubs.

Helping their cause is the fact they are at Wolves this weekend. Rob Edwards’ side aren’t just the lowest-scoring side in the division; they’ve netted at least 12 goals fewer than anybody else. Marco Silva’s men also have a reasonable recent defensive record on the road if you ignore their games against teams in the top four.

Fulham have lost 3-0 at Arsenal and Manchester City, and 2-0 at Liverpool within their last six away games. But they conceded just once in games at Sunderland, Nottingham Forest and Brentford in that run.

Bernd Leno stands a great chance of securing a ninth clean sheet of the season on Sunday. Fulham then finish at home to Newcastle, the fourth-lowest scoring away team in the division. Leno might make it into double figures for shutouts and help his side become the best team in their corner of the capital yet.

DEF – Santiago Bueno | 4.4m | 0.1% Ownership

Having just highlighted Newcastle’s poor attack on the road, it’s only fair we do the same for Fulham. Leno’s side have netted just 16 goals in their 18 away matches. They’ve drawn a blank in their last four away from Craven Cottage.

Is it madness to select a Wolves defender? Maybe. But it’s time for a bold FPL move or two. The bottom side’s defensive record has been vastly improved in recent months, so there are much crazier transfers we could make.

Just nine Premier League teams have conceded fewer home goals than Wolves in 2026. Rob Edwards’ men have allowed 10 in nine games at Molineux this year, losing just three of those matches.

Their top points-scoring defender in FPL is Santiago Bueno, with 88. He scored in Wolves’ previous home game, against Sunderland, and has carried something of a threat on two fronts this term.

Bueno has amassed 2.0 expected goals and 1.5 expected assists. Only 12 other defenders have reached those marks in both metrics, none of whom cost less than his £4.4m FPL price tag.

After hosting Fulham, Wolves finish with a game against Burnley in what could be viewed as the Community Shield for the 2026-27 Championship. They’re both going down but Bueno has a decent opportunity to sell his talent to other clubs in the final two gameweeks.

MID – Leandro Trossard | 6.5m | 1.1% Ownership

There are many key moments that make up a successful campaign. Assuming Arsenal lift the Premier League trophy aloft next Sunday, Leandro Trossard’s late winner at West Ham last weekend will have undoubtedly been one of their most important contributions.

Leandro Trossard Goal vs West Ham United

It should guarantee him a spot in Mikel Arteta’s starting XI for the visit of Burnley on Monday. The Belgian has been something of a good luck charm, with the Gunners winning 15 of the 20 league matches he has started this season.

As the exceptions include clashes with both Manchester clubs and Liverpool, a Trossard-enhanced Arsenal have normally beaten the lesser lights in 2025-26. With the Gunners finishing the campaign at Crystal Palace, this all bodes well.

The 31-year-old has been one of their more reliable attackers, too. Trossard’s 3.4 expected assists in open play has only been topped by Bukayo Saka (5.6) and Declan Rice (3.7). Similarly, Viktor Gyökeres (9.9) and Saka (6.6) are Arteta’s only men with more non-penalty expected goals than Trossard (5.4).

The Belgian will be buzzing from last Sunday at the London Stadium. Make the most of it.

MID – Iliman Ndiaye | 6.2m | 4.5% Ownership

If you average the goals conceded at home or away as appropriate for each team’s remaining opponents, you find Everton have the joint-third most favourable pair of games to close out 2025-26.

They host Sunderland this week, who have allowed 1.50 goals per away match this season. The Toffees then finish at Tottenham, with visitors to their ground averaging 1.72 goals. The combined 1.61 average puts Everton behind only Arsenal (1.83) and West Ham (1.69), with more on one of the latter’s players shortly.

While Spurs will likely be playing for their Premier League status, facing two such porous backlines should be good news for Iliman Ndiaye. He hasn’t scored for a while but has amassed 1.5 xG across the previous four gameweeks, the fourth most among midfielders. Only Cole Palmer has recorded more (1.6) in their last four starts without scoring, and his figures include a penalty.

Iliman Ndiaye - Open Play Expected Assists - PL 25-26

Ndiaye is also Everton’s top man for expected assists, with his 4.4 total the 11th best in the Premier League in open play. Having underperformed against that and his xG, Ndiaye needs to make up ground before the totals reset for next season.

FWDTaty Castellanos | 5.5m | 0.2% Ownership

The 10% Club has put its faith in Valentín Castellanos before. He repaid our belief in Gameweek 25 by scoring in a win at Burnley. West Ham and their supporters will hope another inclusion in this column will work wonders once again.

The outlook is bleak for the Hammers. At the time of writing, their likelihood of relegation is rated at 81.32% by the Opta supercomputer. They simply must win at Newcastle this weekend to apply pressure on Tottenham, who later face a tricky trip to Chelsea.

St. James’ Park has seen 62 goals this season, the most of any ground in the Premier League. While the Magpies have scored the joint-fourth most home goals, only three teams have conceded more on their own patch. West Ham should get some decent opportunities.

Castellanos has been getting on the end of some good opportunities recently. He has had an Opta-defined big chance in each of his last three games. The Argentine’s total of eight shots across those gameweeks was only topped by Ismaïla Sarr (10) and Eberechi Eze (nine). No West Ham player with at least 1,200 minutes averages more expected goals per 90 minutes (0.33) this season either.

Whether the Hammers’ survival hopes are still alive on the final day is yet to be determined. If they are, a home game with Leeds isn’t the hardest assignment. Castellanos could earn hero status in the east end of London with a goal or several over the next 10 days.

*FPL player values and ownership data accurate as of 14 May 2026

Premier League Stats Opta

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